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Market jitters rise as investors reassess AI momentum ahead of key US data

Date: 18 November 2025

2 minute read

18 November 2025

If you are covering the volatility in the markets this morning, please see the following comment from Lindsay James, investment strategist at Quilter:
 
“Markets have enjoyed an extraordinary run this year and a period of consolidation should not come as a surprise. The sell-off we are seeing is being driven by a combination of stretched valuations in parts of the tech and AI industry, a reassessment of the interest rate outlook, and increasing unease about the strength of the US economy not helped by a data vacuum caused by the lengthy US government shutdown. With employment data for October never likely to be released and November data potentially also impacted to some degree, the recent hawkishness of comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell and others has seen forecasts for rate cuts next year reduced, with a knock-on effect for markets, exacerbated by persistent concerns around AI – both from a valuation perspective and its impact on the wider jobs market.

The comments from the Google chief have added to that pause for thought. When a leader of one of the key beneficiaries of the AI boom acknowledges the potential for pockets of irrationality, it reminds investors that progress in transformative technologies can be bumpy. The long-term structural story remains intact, but it will not be immune from these sentiment-driven swings.

The next few days will set the tone for whether this reset deepens or stabilises. US labour market data from September, belatedly published this week, will be watched very closely not just for signals around the economy but also for how it could shape expectations for the Federal Reserve. In the UK, inflation figures tomorrow morning will provide another important piece of the policy puzzle, especially as the Bank of England continues to weigh easing inflation pressures against a still fragile growth backdrop and a difficult budget just a week away.

For now this looks like a natural cooling rather than a fundamental break in market confidence. Provided company earnings continue to justify the investment being poured into new technologies and economic data does not deteriorate sharply, the overall backdrop for equities can remain constructive. Investors should, however, be prepared for a more two-way market as we move through these key data points.

Alex Berry

External Communications Manager

Notes to Editors:

About Quilter plc

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